Severe Weather Outlook for Tuesday, May 13, 2014

Any severe storms today would be isolated and confined to the eastern part of the state during the afternoon and early evening. On Wednesday, any severe weather would likely be from late morning into the afternoon over the extreme eastern part of the state.

For the tornado recovery areas: There will be a small chance that isolated thunderstorms could occur late this morning or early this afternoon. Otherwise, the daylight hours today are likely to be without thunder.

The main focus remains on heavy rain. From this afternoon into this evening, showers and thunderstorms will likely diminish in coverage in the state. However, another round of heavy rain will affect much of the state from late this evening (after 10 or 11 PM) on through the rest of the night and through a good part of the day Wednesday. Rain will taper off considerably Wednesday evening, but some lighter rain could continue into Thursday in northern Arkansas.

Rainfall amounts through Thursday morning will be least in the northwest part of the state, where amounts of only 1/4 to 3/4 inch are likely. Elsewhere, totals of 1/2 to 1 1/2 inches will be common, and there will very likely be some amounts in the 2 to 3 inch range.

John Robinson
Warning Coordination Meteorologist
National Weather Service, Little Rock