Thunderstorms are likely to make their way into parts of western Arkansas by midday and then continue on to the east after that, reaching the central part of the state by late afternoon and eastern Arkansas during the evening. Some thunderstorms are likely to continue in the eastern part of the state throughout the overnight hours and into Friday morning.
A few of the storms will probably be severe. Damaging winds will be a greater threat than large hail. While an isolated tornado or two cannot be ruled out entirely, chances for tornadoes are rather low. We are certainly not looking for a repeat of April 27th.
For the tornado recovery area: While an isolated thunderstorm cannot be ruled out early this afternoon, best chances for thunderstorms should be from 4 to 10 PM today.
On Friday, we will probably see some scattered thunderstorms redevelop during the afternoon and continue into the evening. These storms will be scattered here-and-there, but a few of them could be severe.
On Saturday and Sunday, there will be a few storms around each day.
Chances for storms, and perhaps a few severe storms, will increase on Monday afternoon and evening.
Rainfall amounts from today through the weekend should average 3/4 to 2 inches in most places. There could be some isolated totals around 3 inches.
Warning Coordination Meteorologist
National Weather Service, Little Rock