Severe Weather Outlook for Sunday, May 11, 2014

A few thunderstorms will probably pop up this afternoon. Chances of any severe weather are rather low.

A very slow-moving cold front will begin to affect Arkansas on Monday. Showers and thunderstorms will be scattered across the state on Monday afternoon. Coverage will increase greatly Monday night and continue at least through Tuesday into Tuesday night. Some rain could very well linger into Wednesday.

A few severe thunderstorms could be seen in northwest Arkansas from Monday afternoon into Monday evening. Damaging winds and large hail will be the severe weather threats.

Heavy rain with the front is likely to be the big weather story, however. It’s very likely that the first Flash Flood Watches will be issued later today. I fully expect that we will see a number of Flash Flood Watches and Warnings before this weather system exits Arkansas.

Widespread rainfall totals of 1 1/2 to 3 inches are likely to occur. There could easily be some amounts of 4 to 5+ inches, especially in western Arkansas.

John Robinson
Warning Coordination Meteorologist
National Weather Service, Little Rock