Beginning later tonight and continuing through Sunday, there will be some thunderstorms in Arkansas from time to time, especially over the northern half of the state. Coverage will be scattered, so this will be a “threat of rain once in awhile” situation.
There could be a small number of severe storms, with damaging winds probably having a greater chance of occurrence than large hail.
The biggest threat for the Memorial Day weekend will probably be the lightning, since so many people will be involved in outdoor activities.
Individual storms could produce 1/2 to 1 inch of rain, but such amounts are likely to be only over relatively small areas.
Memorial Day itself looks to have the lowest chance of thunderstorms.
A slow-moving upper level low pressure system will approach from the west in the Tuesday through Thursday time frame next week. Some heavy rain stands a good chance of occurrence. There could be a few severe storms, as well.
Warning Coordination Meteorologist
National Weather Service, Little Rock