The National Weather Service, today, forecasts a slight risk of severe thunderstorms from Central and East Texas, north-northeast into the Ozarks. Widespread thunderstorms are expected today (Thursday) through early Friday along and ahead of a cold front moving east across the southern and central plains into the mid-Mississippi and Tennessee valleys. The storms should organize into lines and likely will produce strong to damaging wind gusts, hail, and perhaps a couple tornadoes. The greatest severe threat will extend from Northeast Texas and East Oklahoma into Arkansas and the Ozarks.
John Robinson, Warning Coordination Meteorologist with the National Weather Service office in Little Rock says thunderstorms just to the northwest of Arkansas at mid-morning will make it into the northwest part of the state before midday…and that these storms might pose a risk of large hail.
From late morning through early afternoon, we will probably see some showers and thunderstorms develop in the state, but chances for severe weather with these should be low.
The main threat of severe weather will begin at mid to late afternoon as a line of thunderstorms (also called a squall line) enters western Arkansas from Oklahoma. This line of storms should make it to central parts of the state early this evening and to eastern Arkansas later this evening. The threat of severe weather should move east of the Mississippi River around midnight or soon thereafter.
The greatest severe weather risk will be damaging thunderstorm winds, and it would not be out of the question to see at least a few cases of winds exceeding 70 mph. Large hail will be a secondary threat, especially over the northwestern half of the state. Isolated tornadoes could occur. I expect that we will see quite a number of severe thunderstorm warnings become necessary.
Rainfall amounts will average 3/4 to 1 1/2 inches. At least a few spots will probably pick up totals of 2 inches or more, but such amounts should occur over relatively small areas.
Keep up with the latest weather forecast for the Arkansas River Valley region here.
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