Flash Flood Threat to Decrease, Severe Storms Expected to Arrive Late Sunday

141011 - outlook for friday141012 - day2probotlk_0600_any - cropFlash Flood Watches are likely to be reduced for Arkansas in forecasts issued later this morning. Southeast Arkansas could still see some 1/2 to 1+ inch amounts. Any totals around 1/2 inch elsewhere in the state should be spotty and confined to relatively small areas where heavier showers occur.
From tonight into Sunday…while there will be some showers and thunderstorms around at times, chances for severe weather and heavy rain will be low.

On Sunday night, however, a line of thunderstorms is likely to enter West Arkansas well after midnight. John Robinson, Warning Coordination Meteorologist with the National Weather Service office in Little Rock, says this line will sweep across the state during the day Monday…and he expects we will see some severe thunderstorm warnings become necessary. Damaging winds should be the main severe weather threat, but there could be some large hail as well. A couple of tornadoes cannot be ruled out.

The NSW Storm Prediction Center in Norman, OK, also expects strong to severe storms on Sunday, with a threat for large hail and strong to damaging wind gusts to be possible over a portion of West and South Kansas, Oklahoma, North Texas, and the Ozark area from late Sunday afternoon in to Sunday night.

Robinson says, since the line of storms should be moving through much of Arkansas late Sunday night and Monday morning, severe weather prospects will not be as great as they would be if the front arrived later in the day. Thus, we’ll need to watch the timing of the front closely as any slowing of the front would increase severe weather chances.
Rainfall with the front should average 1/2 to 1 1/2 inches, with local totals to around 2 inches.

Keep up with the latest weather forecast for the Arkansas River Valley region here.

Follow severe storm warnings through immediate alerts from our Severe Storm Warnings page on Facebook.